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C H A P T E R   1   ine   growth.   For   this   purpose   we   explored   and   compared   growth   data   of   prenatal   growth   studies.   We   also   examined   the   relation   between   height   and   weight   by   the   Body   Mass   Index   (BMI)   during   the   postnatal   secular   trend   by   comparing   growth   data  of  different  postnatal  growth  studies.       In  the  third  chapter,  we  explore  whether  short  term  changes  in  body  composition,   measured  by  total  body  water  (TBW),  as  a  result  of  rhGH  therapy  could  be  used  to   predict  its  growth  effect  after  one  year  in  children  with  GHD  and  SGA  children.  Be-­‐ cause  not  all  these  children  seem  to  benefit  from  this  treatment  it  is  important  to   predict  whether  a  child  will  have  an  adequate  or  inadequate  response  to  rhGH.  This   prediction   is   also   important   as   a   tool   to   predict   a   declining   risk   on   the   metabolic   syndrome.     In  the  fourth  chapter,   we   analyze   the   metabolic   growth   pattern,   expressed   as   BMI   and   weight   for   height   values   of   SGA   children,   treated   with   rhGH.   The   objective   of   this   study   was   to   investigate   whether   short-­‐term   changes   in   BMI   and   weight   for   height,  as  a  result  of  rhGH  could  be  used  to  predict  its  growth  effect  after  one  year   in   GHD-­‐   and   SGA   children.   If   the   outcome   is   the   same   as   by   the   Deuterium   meas-­‐ urement   of   TBW,   the   result   can   be   utilized   as   a   tool   in   the   daily   practice   of   the   Youth  Health  Care.     In  the  fifth  chapter,  we  describe  the  construction  of  a  prediction  model  for  the  de-­‐ velopment   of   obesity   in   children.   This   model   is   based   on   the   longitudinal   data   of   healthy  infants,  followed  from  birth  until  the  age  of  4  years.  Most  prevention  pro-­‐ grams  are  applicable  from  the  age  of  approximately  two  years.  Thereby  most  chil-­‐ dren   are   presented  to   the   pediatrician   at   the   moment   their   weight   is   already   out-­‐ side   the   normal   range.   Accordingly,   we   created   a   prediction   model   to   detect   the   tendency   of   becoming   overweight   in   childhood   at   a   moment   overweight   has   not   been  established.  This  model  can  be  used  in  early  childhood,  in  the  first  years  of  life.   Such  a  model  can  provide  the  possibility  to  detect,  whether  the  growth  of  an  indi-­‐ vidual  child  still  fits  within  the  expected  range  of  the  growth  velocity  and  thereby  to   detect  if  a  child  is  at  risk  for  an  abnormal  growth.  Obesity  prevention  might  then  be   possible  already  during  the  first  years  of  life  in  the  regular  preventive  health  care   program,   coordinated   by   the   Youth   Health   Care.   Screening   tools   for   deviated   growth   and   body   proportions   are   essential   in   a   preventive   program   and   can   be   used  in  the  follow  up  of  children.       In   the   sixth   chapter,   we   applied   the   prediction   model   to   an   overweight   and   non-­‐ overweight  group  to  test  our  hypothesis.  We  compared  our  prediction  model  with  2   other  methods  to  estimate  (ab)normal  growth  of  children:  the  often  used  weight  for   length   growth   chart   and   the   BMI   calculation.   The   prediction   model   can   easily   be   used  in  the  regular  monitoring  of  children  by  the  youth  health  care  providers  and   thereby  may  reduce  the  incidence  of  obesity  in  childhood  and  thereby  its  comorbid-­‐ 18    


Proefschrift binnenwerk Manon Ernst_DEF.indd
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